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NGX Q2 2026 Earnings Season Preview: What to watch

With the Q2 2026 earnings season approaching, we preview the expectations for the major banking and telco tickers on the Nigerian Exchange.

By mtwi wealth research ·
NGX Q2 2026earnings season NigeriaNGX stocksdividend stocks Nigeria

As we close out the first half of the year, investors are bracing for the Q2 2026 earnings season on the Nigerian Exchange (NGX). The mid-year reports are historically critical because they often come with interim dividend declarations from the Tier-1 banks and major industrial players.

Here is our preview of what to expect from the heavyweights.

The Banking Sector: Post-Recapitalisation Realities

The Tier-1 banks (FUGAZ) have largely completed their capital raising exercises mandated by the CBN. Now, the market wants to see if this newly injected capital is being deployed efficiently.

  • Interest Income: With the MPR (Monetary Policy Rate) sitting at elevated levels, we expect massive top-line interest income across the board. Banks like GTCO and Zenith should report significant year-on-year growth in gross earnings.
  • Impairment Charges: The flip side of high interest rates is high default risk. We will be watching the NPL (Non-Performing Loan) ratios closely. Have impairment provisions eaten into the expected Profit After Tax (PAT)?

Telecommunications: The FX Recovery

The telecom sector, primarily led by MTNN and Airtel Africa, was battered by FX revaluation losses in previous quarters.

  • MTN Nigeria (MTNN): The market is looking for sequential margin recovery. With the Naira stabilizing somewhat in Q2 compared to the severe volatility of the past, MTNN’s core operational strength (data and fintech revenue) should finally shine through without being entirely overshadowed by below-the-line FX losses.
  • Airtel Africa (AIRTELAFRI): Investors will be focused on their repatriations and mobile money growth across their broader African footprint, hedging against specific Nigerian macroeconomic pressures.

Industrials: Volume vs Price

For the cement giants (DANGCEM, WAPCO, BUACEMENT), the story remains inflation-driven pricing versus consumer purchasing power.

  • Dangote Cement (DANGCEM): We expect strong top-line revenue driven by earlier price hikes. However, energy costs (specifically the cost of gas and diesel for their plants) remain the primary threat to margins. If DANGCEM can report volume growth alongside price growth, the stock will likely re-rate higher.

Note: This is a preview. We will provide individual, data-backed stock updates the moment the actual financials hit the NGX portal. For a primer on how to interpret these numbers yourself, read our beginner’s guide to reading an NGX earnings report.

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